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Retraces from weekly highs, targeting the 50-DMA

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  • The USD/CHF retreats from 0.9886 in a volatile session, despite positive US data.
  • The Swiss franc has gained almost 1% in the last two trading days.
  • USD/CHF Price Analysis: Sellers are eyeing 0.9700, which would open the door for buyers to lift the pair towards 0.9800.

The USD/CHF dives after reaching a weekly high on Thursday, around 0.9900, and plunges towards the 0.9770s region on upbeat US data, which pared expectations of a Federal Reserve larger-than-expected rate hike, which was cheered by investors, as reflected by global equities rising.

The USD/CHF is trading at 0.9775, near the daily lows, after hitting a 0.9840 daily high, just above the daily pivot, which once broken, paved the way for a free fall below 0.9800, and further extending towards the S1 pivot area around 0.9773.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

USD/CHF Daily chart

The USD/CHF daily chart shows that it is still favoring longs. The ongoing pullback from weekly highs near 0.9900 could be capped around the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 0.9735, though the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 56.03 keeps pushing lower, which means that sellers might be eyeing the 50% Fibonacci retracement at around 0.9690, looking forward for an RSI’s uptick, that could give buyers a go, to re-enter USD/CHF longs.

If that scenario plays out, USD/CHF’s first resistance would be 0.9700, followed by 0.9735 and 0.9800. Otherwise, the USD/CHF pullback could continue its fall towards the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 0.9644, followed by the figure at 0.9600.

USD/CHF Key Technical Levels


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